Ether’s (ETH) recent sell-off was stopped at $1,800, as bulls aggressively defended the level. Ether’s rebound above $2,100, along with on-chain and technical data, suggests that traders will hold the price above $2,000 for the short-term.
Key takeaways:
Ether’s profitability metrics drop to levels that have historically marked local bottoms.
The MVRV Z-score and pricing bands suggest ETH price drop to $1,800 was the bottom.
ETH price bounced off a multi-year trendline that has marked previous macro lows.
Ether traders realize losses
Onchain data shows that Ether’s Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) is at 0.96, suggesting ETH investors are still selling at a loss.
This metric dropped as low as 0.92 on Feb. 6, implying that Ether’s price drop to $1,800 was driven by traders realizing losses amid panic and extreme fear.
Related: Ethereum stablecoin supply hits $180B all-time high: Token Terminal
SOPR measures the profit or loss of spent ETH outputs by comparing the value of coins when they were last moved to their value when they are spent again.
A value below 1 might suggest capitulation or a market bottom, potentially signaling a good time to buy.
Ether SOPR. Source: Glassnode
Historically, this scenario has often preceded price recoveries. When SOPR fell to 0.86 following Ether’s drop to $1,500 in April, it was followed by a 246% price recovery to its current all-time high of $4,950.
Similar scenarios in 2022 and 2023 were followed by 130% and $155% ETH price rallies, respectively.
As such, some investors saw the drop to $3,000 as an opportunity to buy.
MVRV Z-Score suggests Ether bottomed at $1,800
Ether’s MVRV Z-Score, a key onchain metric used to identify market tops and bottoms, has dropped into the historical accumulation zone (the green line in the chart below), strengthening the argument that ETH may have found a bottom.
Ethereum: MVRV Z-score. Source: Capriole Investments
The last time Ether’s MVRV Z-score fell to the current levels was in April 2025, after a 66% price drawdown. This coincided with a macro market bottom at $1,400 and preceded a multi-month rally, with the ETH/USD pair rising 258%…
..
