Bitcoin could be entering the latter stages of the bear market, with downside momentum beginning to slow down, according to Real Vision chief crypto analyst Jamie Coutts.
“I think we’re getting through most of the bear market action. It’s still not over, clearly. But you know, I think we’re approaching at least the second half,” Coutts said during an interview on Cointelegraph’s Trade Secrets.
Coutts described Bitcoin’s current price action as a “typical garden-variety bear market,” with BTC trading around the $63,000 mark, roughly 50% below its October 2025 all-time high of $126,100.
He noted that Bitcoin’s volatility has declined by about 50% compared with the previous market cycle, suggesting the current downturn may be less severe than previous bear markets.
Bitcoin is up 4.45% over the past 30 days. (CoinMarketCap)
However, Coutts warned that markets rarely follow historical patterns so neatly. “They just sort of do their own thing. And at the moment, all the trend indicators are obviously bearish,” Coutts said.
On the bright sides, Coutts said he is beginning to see early technical signs that selling pressure is easing.
“I’m starting to see a bullish divergence appear on the longer time frames on momentum. So that’s just telling me that the acceleration, or should I say, the negative momentum is decelerating, but that doesn’t mean that we’re out of this bear market from a technical perspective at all,” Coutts said.
While many market participants blamed Bitcoin’s fourth-quarter downturn on tightening global liquidity conditions, Coutts said that weakening onchain fundamentals also played a significant part.
“So onchain demand, which definitely drives price and is somewhat correlated to things like global liquidity and the business cycle, they started to deteriorate as well.”
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