Three Reasons Why Bitcoin Holding $63K May Mark The Bottom

Bitcoin (BTC) continues to exhibit a strong technical setup after holding a weekly close above $63,000 for three consecutive weeks since tagging a new 2026 low near $59,000. This pattern closely resembles a bottom-building phase seen in previous trend reversals in bearish periods.

At the same time, Bitcoin futures open interest has fallen 19.5% from its June peak, funding rates have cooled to 0.02% from 0.1%, and spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) outflows have slowed sharply to $540 million over the past two weeks from $5.5 billion the prior month. 

Together, the data points to a market that is shedding excess selling pressure while holding near a key support zone for BTC. 

Bitcoin’s weekly chart echoes prior market bottoms

Bitcoin’s recent weekly price action resembles a pattern seen several times since 2023. Once a local bottom is established, the price often trades close to that range for weeks before a sustained uptrend develops. One exception came in November 2025, when the price spent roughly 10 weeks moving sideways above $88,000 before breaking lower to the $60,000 level. 

BTC/USD, one-week chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The current setup also resembles the price from late 2022 and early 2023. During that period, the weekly relative strength index (RSI) entered oversold territory, recovered, and later formed a higher low, while the BTC price printed a lower low, creating a bullish divergence. That bullish divergence marked a key turning point, preceding the broader uptrend that developed during 2023. 

The focus is now on the $63,000 area, where the price has formed a positive RSI divergence. The repeated weekly closes above $63,000, keeps Bitcoin trading above its recent low at $59,000 rather than extending towards it. The behavior fits a range-building phase that has appeared near previous turning points, as identified in the chart. 

Related: US dollar strength hits highest since May 2025: Five things to know in Bitcoin this week

BTC futures turn less crowded as ETF sell-pressure eases 

Bitcoin derivatives markets have become notably less crowded over the past three weeks. Bitcoin funding…

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