Bitcoin (BTC) price struggled to break above $72,000, as several key onchain metrics highlighted weakening demand for BTC, casting doubts on its upside potential.
Key takeaways:
Bitcoin investors shift to distribution as whales and smaller cohorts aggressively sell under weak market conditions.
Bitcoin whale transaction count hits multi-year lows, as smart money waits for policy and geopolitical clarity.
Bitcoin’s hash rate fell sharply amid rising energy costs, increasing chances of miner capitulation.
Bitcoin investors “shift to distribution”
Bitcoin investors have are increasingly risk-off, distributing their BTC holdings amid the recent price weakness fueled by the US and Israel-Iran war and other macroeconomic headwinds.
Glassnode’s Accumulation Trend Score (ATS) is near zero (light yellow), indicating that the whales are distributing their BTC holdings or not accumulating.
Related: Bitcoin retakes $71K as US sends Iran 15-point ceasefire plan
The drop in the trend score indicates a transition from accumulation to distribution across almost all cohorts. This shift mirrors a similar pattern observed in early 2025, which aligned with Bitcoin’s drop to $74,500 in April 2025.
Bitcoin accumulation trend score. Source: Glassnode
Additional data from Glassnode shows a “shift toward distribution or inactivity” among small to mid-sized entities holding less than 1,000 BTC.
This is in contrast to “Q4 2024, where broad cohort accumulation preceded a sustained rally,” the onchain data provider said in a Tuesday post on X, adding:
“Heavy participation across wallet sizes remains a precondition for any durable recovery.”Bitcoin accumulation trend score by cohort. Source: X/Glassnode
Bitcoin whale activity “historically quiet”
Reflecting this distribution or inactive accumulation trend is Bitcoin’s whale activity, which has become “historically quiet,” according to Santiment.
Last week, daily BTC transactions above $100,000 fell to just 6,417, the lowest since September 2023. Meanwhile, transfers exceeding $1 million dropped to 1,485, levels last seen in October 2024.
The declining whale activity…
..
