Analysts Say Ethereum Price Must Hold $1.8K to Avoid Breakdown

Ether’s (ETH) rally stalled late Monday just above $2,000 due to stiff overhead resistance, as the technical setup suggested that downward momentum would increase if the ETH/USD pair breaks below $1,800.

Key takeaways:

ETH price must hold above $1,800 to avoid another leg down. 

Ether’s bearish charts and onchain indicators converge on ETH prices below $1,500. 

ETH price: $1,800 remains a key level to watch

Ether’s cost-basis distribution heatmap shows strong support recently established around $1,800. This is where about 1.23 million ETH were acquired at an average price of $1,890 over the last 30 days. 

ETH: Cost basis distribution heatmap

This area is now a strong support for ETH, which, if broken, would likely see the price retest February’s lows.

Related: Ether is 60% down from its 2025 high, but TradFi keeps betting on ETH: Here’s why

CoinGlass data shows short liquidations of over $120 million over the past two days, clearing overhead leverage. Now, $624 million in cumulative long liquidation exposure sits above $1,800, forming a liquidity pocket below the spot price.

ETH exchange liquidation map. Source: CoinGlass

CryptoQuant analyst Maartunn spotted 67,000 ETH, worth about $130 million, sitting just below the spot price, reinforcing the significance of this support zone.

ETH liquidation heatmap. Source: X/Maartunn

ETH price triangle pattern targets sub-$1,500

From a technical point of view, the $1,800-$1,900 support zone coincides with the lower trend line of a symmetrical triangle on the daily chart.

If the bearish momentum persists, the ETH/USD pair might drop below the lower boundary of the triangle at $1,850 to test support at $1,750, the multi-year low reached on Feb. 6.

Below that, ETH could drop toward the measured target of the triangle at $1,400, 28% below the current price.

ETH/USD daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Meanwhile, Ether’s MVRV extreme deviation pricing bands suggest that ETH price still has room to drop before the unrealized profit held by investors reaches an extreme level, or around $1,650, as shown in the chart below.

Ethereum: MRVR extreme…..

Source

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