Bitcoin Four-Year Cycle ‘Normal’ Says Trader as BTC Hits Bottom Zone

Bitcoin (BTC) should see new all-time highs in 2028, a trader says as $53,000 becomes an important buy-in level.

Key points:

Bitcoin is in “as normal a four-year cycle as they come,” says Bob Loukas as the timing for a bear-market bottom approaches.The cycle midpoint at $53,000 would be an advantageous market entry if price gets there.Uncertainty rules among market participants as question marks over $60,000 remain.

Loukas: 2026 BTC price action just like other cycles

In his latest YouTube update released on June 4, Bob Loukas stressed that the four-year BTC price cycle was alive and well.

“Everyone keeps saying, ‘it’s different this time, it’s different;’ I’ve heard every excuse out there possible, and we did last cycle as well,” he said.

“But this here is as normal a four-year cycle as they come.”

BTC/USD drawdowns from all-time highs. Source: Glassnode

Loukas, a well-known voice in Bitcoin trading circles, maintains that the similarities spanning previous bull and bear markets are repeating this year.

As such, even with its fresh dip below $60,000, BTC/USD is still far closer to its old all-time high than the lowpoint that marked old bear-market bottoms.

The past four years has produced a midpoint of around $53,000, making that level of key interest as both support and resistance — and a plausible buy-in point for the bear-market low.

Loukas says that the “window” for a cycle low occurs 10% either side of week 46 of the cycle. Currently, it is on week 44.

“The window is getting hit; the four-year cycle now is getting towards an end, but as I mentioned before, this is not any different to prior cycles,” he stressed.

BTC/USD one-month chart (screenshot). Source: Bob Loukas/YouTube

Loukas added that looking ahead, price discovery should return in 2028.